Archive for 2009

Food for Iraqi Refugees via Mobile

While the State Department is using SMS to build social networks in Pakistan, the UN World Food Programme is using SMS to distribute food aid to Iraqi refugees in Syria. Beneficiaries will recieve vouchers via text message with codes that can be redeemed at state-run stores.  So far it’s just a pilot program, serving just 1,000 of the 130,000 Iraqi refugees recieving food aid in Syria, but the hope is to scale it broadly. If it proves successful, it’s win-win-win:

WFP Mobile Food VouchersIt’s great for the beneficiaries, who can now spend their voucher on whatever food they like– including perishables like milk and eggs, which are not included in the typical food aid basket. What’s more, beneficiaries can now avoid the trip to the WFP headquarters and the wait on line for food.

It’s a boon for local business.  Instead of the WFP importing rice, flour, chickpeas, and whatnot, they’ll now be passing the cash to shopkeepers, and circulating money in the Syrian economy.

And it’s good for the WFP– if the program scales well, they’ll save a bundle on food distribution costs.

I think before long we’ll be seeing something similar in the United States replacing the food stamp program. The benefits aren’t quite as significant as in the WFP’s situation, and the functionality will be different (we don’t, for example, have many government-run groceries in the States), but I imagine this will be one part of an inevitable shift of government service delivery onto web and mobile platforms.

(h/t Dolbee)

Broadband Internet Is Your Right! If You’re Finnish.

Interesting news out of Finland, where new legislation will make 1mbps broadband internet a legal right. Most of the country is wired, but the new law will force broadband providers to extend their networks to rural areas. Says the legislative counsellor of the Ministry of Transport and Communications:

We think it’s something you cannot live without in modern society. Like banking services or water or electricity, you need Internet connection.

Rural FinlandOther countries, including France, have mandated internet access, but Finland is the first to set a threshhold for speed. (And they’ve set ambitious goals for growth, too: 100mbps by 2015) Ban Ki-Moon has made global ICT access a priority, and spoke last week in support of extending networks to schools around the world.

The question of whether high-speed internet access should be treated as a right is one that I think we’ll be wrestling with a lot in coming years. Certainly, access to and understanding of the global ICT network is a prerequisite for the success of any child growing up in the 21st century. And increasingly, as more and more services are delivered over mobiles and the web, governments will need to ensure universal access.

We still have a long way to go in the United States, though. We are, in fact, the only industrialized nation without a national plan to promote the spread of broadband. Finland, two steps ahead of us, might be taken as an inspiration…

The US Senate Must Stand Against the Vitter/Bennett Amendment

Las Vegas, NV – The United States Senate is getting enmeshed in a very serious conversation at the moment that may appear to be innocent and practical.  The debate is over a proposed amendment, SA 2644, to the Commerce, Justice, & Science Appropriations bill that is under consideration in the Senate.

The amendment seeks to force the US Census to redo their questionnaire to include an 11th question that would require everyone to identify their citizenship or legal status in this country.  The stated purpose of the amendment is to gather an accurate count of the undocumented population in this country so that they can be excluded from the population count in the reapportionment of congressional districts after the Census is concluded.

They make many flawed reasons as to why this should happen, but the reality is that this is just another trick out of the old GOP play book to strike fear into their base by using race and scapegoating immigrants.  We have seen this tactic several times this year and throughout the GOP history over the past 50 years.  Simon has talked about this tactic calling them proxy wars for the eventual debate over fixing our nation’s broken immigration system.

I will take some time to dismiss some of their reasoning for supporting the amendment, but want to make sure that everyone is aware of what the real debate is about with this amendment. What Vitter/Bennett are asking Americans to do is to establish a society in which we value some people more than others based on their race. They would like America to revert back to a time in which not all people were equal.  They ask us to consider moments in our nation’s history in which we only counted African Americans as 3/5 of a person, and to a time in which Native Americans were still excluded from society.  These chapters of American history are long in our past, and America has done much to overcome the injustices of these eras.  This debate is not just about protecting electoral votes and federal funding for their home states, this debate is about persuading Americans to think that it is ok to discriminate and punish peoples.

Any US Senator that doesn’t see this is simply not paying attention.  There is a reason so many organizations are rallying against this proposal– including the NAACP, an organization that is well-versed in fighting proposals of discrimination.  I applaud US Senator Harry Reid and the Obama administration for taking this issue seriously, and working to eliminate it from the bill.  If Senators Vitter and Bennett want to have a discussion about race and equality in this country, then let’s have that debate, but let’s not disguise the issue and pretend that we are having a simple debate about adding an additional question to the Census form.  Man up, and let’s have this discussion in its proper setting and its proper time.

Now, so that people don’t think that I am evading their reasons, lets pick them apart right here. First, let’s not forget that the GOP was attacking the Obama administration earlier this year for what they claimed was a power grab to play politics with the Census. The issue led Senator Gregg to withdraw as a nominee for Secretary of Commerce.  Vitter/Bennett have made it very clear that their motives are purely political for this amendment: to exclude undocumented persons from the count for the reapportionment of congressional seats. Second, the GOP has attacked the Administration for not being fiscally conservative, yet they have no problem with wasting up to an additional billion dollars to enact this scheme.  Talk about Hypocrisy!  Third,  they claim that our country has precedent for not counting all people.  Again, do you really want to have this debate?  Finally, they claim that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that when drawing congressional districts, they should be comparable in number of voters according to Reynolds v Sims.  Well Senator Bennett, you should hire a new legal counsel.  The SCOTUS case regarding Reynolds v Sims was in relation to state legislative districts not congressional districts.  That issue was dealt with a year later by SCOTUS in Wesberry v Sanders, in which they determined that congressional districts need to comparable in POPULATION.

So now that we got that over with, once again we will ask all US Senators to stand against this amendment.  I understand that some members may see supporting this amendment as a short-term political gain for their states, but ultimately this is a long-term loss for America.  Our nation has a great history of overcoming its past to build a better future, and I am confident that we can continue that tradition.

Who Really Will Pay for Goldman Sachs’ $23 Billion in New Bonuses

It was an auspicious week for the touchy issues surrounding executive pay.  One after another, President Obama’s pay czar, Kenneth Feinberg, announced new restrictions for AIG executives; Goldman Sachs was reported to be putting aside $23 billion this year’s bonus pool, the largest anywhere, ever; and Elinor Ostrom from Indiana University shared the Nobel Prize in economics for her breakthrough work on how large companies organize themselves, often in ways that encourage executives to put their own financial interests before those of the shareholders.

Starting with Goldman, it’s obvious that a sheaf of annual bonuses each equal to 10 or 20 times what an average American earns in his or her entire lifetime, coming from a firm which recently received huge, direct and indirect taxpayer-funded assistance, is certain to spark outrage.   That reaction isn’t misplaced, and there’s a sensible response to it based on the core tenets of capitalism which we will get to shortly.   There are other serious matters at stake here, too.   In particular, how does a financial services firm like Goldman Sachs earn such huge profits in difficult times?  And since the operations of Goldman and a few others like it matter so much to the economy – which is why they got their federal assistance – how do the arrangements which produce such huge bonuses affect those operations and thereby the rest of us?   The answers suggest that even as Goldman’s top executives and traders put away enough for a royal retirement, their decisions could lay the foundation for future financial turmoil that would leave the rest of us a lot poorer.

We didn’t need this latest and most conspicuous instance of greed at Goldman to know that the compensation provided to the uppermost echelons of American business is out of control.  Since 1990, the pay of American CEOs has jumped from 90 times the average workers’ pay to 250 times – compared to 15 to 30 times for British, French and Japanese CEOs.   Nobel Laureate Ostrom’s work helps us understand why:  CEOs name their own top executives and strongly influence who ends up on their boards of directors – and consequently on the committees that set the terms for all of their compensation.  How much they decide to pay themselves, therefore, is essentially limited by the intersection of their own avarice and any vestigial sense of shame they might have.   And the shame is pretty easy to dispose of, since the terms of their compensation are rarely disclosed publically.

There’s a fascinating account of some of these pay packages in a current New Yorker article chronicling the efforts of Nell Minow and Robert A.G. Monks to reassert shareholder rights over these modern robber barons. Almost everywhere, most of the pay comes in stock or stock options, so they’re only liable for the 15 percent capital gains tax.  (The Goldman executives who will claim stock bonuses worth tens of millions of dollars this year will report taxable “salaries” of less than $300,000.)  And if the stock price falls under these executives’ leadership, their options contracts are often revised at a lower strike price.   These packages may also include huge “retirement” bonuses for CEOs that leave voluntarily – like the one federal contractor Halliburton gave Dick Cheney when he left to run for Vice President – and even “retention bonuses” for executives who end up in prison.  Then there are the extravagant perks.  It took public divorce proceedings against GE’s Jack Welch for shareholders to find out that on top of the many hundreds of millions of dollars Welch received in stock and salary, his friendly board had also awarded him lifetime use of the company’s 737 and helicopters; lifetime floor seats for the Knicks and lifetime box seats for the Red Sox, Yankees and the Metropolitan Opera; exclusive lifetime use of a sprawling Manhattan apartment, including fresh flowers, dry cleaning service and even the tips for the doorman; and a catalog of lifetime golf and country club memberships.   His and most other executive contracts also now include “gross-ups,” which means that the shareholders pick up federal and state taxes owed on the executives’ various perks.

These are all examples of what economists call the “agent-principal problem,” in which the interests of agents – they’re the executives – diverge from those of the principals, who here are the owners or shareholders.  It’s pretty simple: They enrich themselves at the expense of the shareholders who they ostensibly work for – and those shareholders now include a majority of all Americans.  The simple democratic answer to all this, derived directly from the essence of capitalism, is to empower the owners by requiring that boards disclose all aspects of the compensation package of senior personnel and subject the terms of those compensation packages to mandatory shareholder votes, every year.

Last week, I proposed this step on a CNBC business show.   The other guest predictably squawked about government control – and then the moderators also tried to dismiss the idea as “impossible.”  Come again?  Shareholders vote every year on lots of measures – check out your proxy statements.   And the mere threat that shareholders might publicly reject a CEO‘s payday should moderate the greed of at least some compensation committees.   The House passed a weak version of this proposal recently – annual, “advisory” shareholder votes on compensation.  The Senate should strengthen it with stricter disclosure requirements and an annual vote that actually decides the matter. Why, precisely, shouldn’t a company’s owners determine what their executives are paid?  And does anyone think that Goldman’s shareholders, including strapped pension plans and charitable institutions, are eager to see $23 billion in potential dividends go to the firm’s top tiers?

This particular agent-principal problem also affects the rest of us, since the stock and stock options that make up most of these compensation packages are often tied to the short-term gains associated with an executive or trader’s work, without regard to the transactions’ long-term returns.  So, hundreds of traders and executives at Goldman and other places on Wall Street have closed transactions and other deals that booked large paper profits this year – and will take home huge bonuses tied to them – but bear no consequences if those deals go sour next year or the year after and cost the shareholders billions.   These arrangements directly encourage them to take on enormous long-term risks for their firms and owners, in pursuit of the short-term paper gains that generate their own bonuses.   Since risk and return are closely related, these arrangements help explain how Goldman earned enough this year to dole out that projected $23 billion in bonuses.   And by creating such strong incentives for risky investments on a large-scale, these same arrangements were a core element of the meltdown that nearly pushed the U.S. and global economies into a genuine Depression, and cost shareholders and taxpayers trillions of dollars.

To prevent a recurrence that could ruin almost everyone, these arrangements have to end.  J.P. Morgan Chase has said it will include new “claw-back” provisions that would reclaim part of the bonuses when a deal’s long-term returns are less than expected.   It’s a nice gesture, but it’s hardly enough.  We need laws and regulations that directly limit the risk levels of the portfolios of institutions deemed “too large to fail,” and specific, claw-back guidelines from the SEC that all public companies will have to follow.  The outstanding question is whether Congress has the cajones to force the country’s richest people and institutions to change the ways that made them so wealthy in the first place.

Senators Bennett, Vitter Escalate Their Attack on the Census, Reapportionment

Christina Bellantoni at Talking Points Memo has a must read piece up on the new Bennett Vitter Census Amendment.   It includes a must watch video of Senator Bennett making the case for his amendment. 

Whatever one thinks of the idea of adding another question to the census short form at this very late point in the process, focus must be put on Bennett’s stated intent – to count the undocumented immigrants in the U.S. so as to deny their use in the upcoming, every ten year reapportionment process. 

This new Bennett led effort seems to be, among many other things, a direct legal and political assault on the 14th Amendment to the Constitution:

Representatives shall be apportioned among the several States according to their respective numbers, counting the whole number of persons in each State, excluding Indians not taxed

The 14th Amendment was designed, of course, to correct the infamous “three-fifths” clause in the original Constitution, which relegated a class of people to be something much less than the rest of us.  It is extraordinary that in the first year of the Presidency of the first African-American President the Senate is seriously considering an amendment which so directly challenges the integrity of the 140 year old legal framework which enabled, for example, Michelle Obama’s family to move from slave, to free, and today, to the White House.

There are rumors afoot today that some Democratic Senators and moderate Republicans are considering joining with Bennett and Vitter on this amendment next week, giving them enough votes to pass it.  Before they do they and their staffs better do their homework, and come to a better understanding of the real intent behind this seemingly innocent legislation – to attack the legal framework of the modern civil rights era, to discourage immigrants from participating in the census itself, and to launch a divisive and racially charged campaign over who we are today, and who are becoming.

As I wrote in an essay a few weeks ago, Waking Up to the Coming Battle over the Census, the Republican assault on the census and reapportionment will not end next week even if the Bennett-Vitter Amendment is voted down.  This is going to be a titantic battle, next year and throughout the two year long reapportionment process.  My essay looks at a recent WSJ op-ed which layed out the logic of this fight, which, included, incredibly a reference to the intent of the original Constitution, which of course had been, let us say, not so good on these matters of race and has needed some significant improving.  Our own Rob Shapiro, who helped oversee the preperation of the last census, also weighed in last week with his own take on all this.

Those who have a role in ensuring a fair and accurate census and reapportionment need to begin engaging now in this fight, and not allow the other side to score early and significant victories before every one has their teams and plans together.  The battle has been joined, and it is time to jump in, hard.   

One of the best ways of course the nation has to neutralize this effort will be to pass immigration reform next year, giving the undocumenteds legal status, and thus rendering Bennett, Vitter and all their soon to be vociferous allies mute.

Here’s the video of Senator Bennett making his case:

Coming Soon: A Cutting-Edge Report on the Future of the Electricity Network

Coming Soon to the New Policy Institute: A Cutting-Edge Report on Future of the Electricity Network by Green Project Director Michael Moynihan. Moynihan’s extensive paper will cover the barriers the current electricity grid and regulatory structure present to the broad deployment of renewable energy and energy efficient technologies and systems. The seminal report will lay out a 21st century agenda for Electricity 2.0 to power a low-carbon, high innovation economy.

For a preview of some of the issues the paper will cover, take a look at Moynihan’s recent post on the NDN blog, “Removing Roadblocks to the Growth of Renewables“:

New York City – On Friday, the US Energy Information released new monthly statistics for renewable energy output as well as output of traditional forms of power.  The good news is that renewable energy in May, the latest month for which statistics have been compiled, is at its all time highest level, accounting for 13% of total power.  The bad news, however, is that the vast majority of this, about 9.4% comes from traditional hydropower.  The other renewables, wind, solar, biomass and geothermal accounted for just 3.6%.   Wind accounts for 1.8, biomass, 1.3%, geothermal 0.4% and solar 0.3% of the total.

All of the sources of renewables grew, but the growth rates were modest.  Wind grew year-on-year by 12.5% and solar by only 3.5%.  These growth rates might be passable for mature technologies with a huge starting base.  However, for comparatively new technologies with a tiny denominator, these growth rates are not impressive.  True, the data do not reflect the full force of the Investment Tax Credit (for solar installations) extended last fall and the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act passed this winter–because of the lag in the data.  Still they tell at best a story of an industry surviving the recession.  They do not tell a story of economic rebirth based on the promise of a low carbon future.

There are reasons to hope clean energy would be growing much faster than these rates–the goal of lowering greenhouse gas emissions–essential to addressing climate change–and the goal of creating a new wave of clean technology-driven growth.  (The goal of energy security is less dependent on renewable technologies since coal is present in the United States but is nonetheless also served by replacing oil in our nation’s energy mix.)

However, there are also reasons to expect clean energy to be growing far faster than it is: the declining cost curves of renewables relative to fossil fuels, the large subisidies the government has put in place and the huge push America is making, from the President’s speeches to the T.Boone Pickens Plan for energy independence on down.  In many states, renewable energy is even mandated through a Renewable Electricity Standard.  Looking abroad, Germany produces 7% of its power from wind, about four times what the US does and Spain’s solar power capacity grew 364% in 2008.  Now that is the type of growth needed to have a real effect!  The fact is US growth rates in renewable industry are not meeting reasonable expectations for clean energy growth, let alone desirable targets.

I have been studying the question of why clean technology is moving so slowly into the marketplace in the United States and my research suggests that adoption of clean technology and renewable energy must be about more than pricing and incentives.  It is about decisionmaking and removing obstacles to the deployment of clean energy.  These obstacles are present, once you peer into the complex world of the electricity industry,in a host of non economic barriers to implementation.

To understand why clean energy is not–even with large incentives in place–displacing dirtier forms of energy, it is important to recall the extraordinarily complex nature of the industry.  Like all large industries, the electricity industry has incumbents.  These incumbents–unlike say car manufacturers or computer companies, are protected by regulation.  During the 1990s, the industry was partially deregulated so that market forces were introduced in some parts of the industry in some regions.  However, the work of regulatory reform proceeded only part way leaving the industry in a sort of limbo  Today, some regions of the country have wholesale competition.  Others have limited retail competition.  Still others have wholly vertically integrated companies supplying their customers with soup to nuts service unchanged from a half century ago.  And there is limited trade in electricity, this in an era, when frozen dinners served in the United States are made in Thailand and fresh flowers cut in Bolivia.

Indeed the electricity industry is quite rare today in remaining geographically divided.  With some exceptions it is illegal for a utility in one region to sell to customers in another.  There is effectively no such thing as national competition. There are, of course, many precedents for these legalized restraints on trade.  Banking used to be organized this way prior to reforms in the 1980s and 1990s.  Telecommunications after the breakup of Ma Bell but before the 1996 Telecom bill and development of national communications services was similarly organized by region.  In the case of electricity, besides the legal restraints on trade there are major physical restraints in the form of lack of capacity on the grid to move power where it is needed.

The absence of universal market allocation of power, means that decisionmaking–of what types of power to buy, what types of clean technology to implement and what types of infrastructure to build–is left, frequently to a small group of decisionmakers who are also incumbents and have a rational bias towards decisions supporting their incumbent position.  A transformative technology, for example, could reduce the value of their legacy assets.  Building a new transmission line to connect wind power to the grid, may make a plant they own obsolete.  It may therefore be entirely rational for them to discourage rather than encourage the deployment of new technology.

It would be one thing if the decisionmakers were acting on their own.  However, typically they make decisions under the rate base system that provides a guaranteed rate of return on anything they can place in the rate base.  This would ordinarily incent them toward overinvestment.  However, since regulators oversee these rate cases and generally try to lower costs, the decisionmakers at utilities have a conflicting mandate to gain a high rate of return but also keep costs down.  This can lead to a bias toward investments that pay off immediately and against investments that pay off longer term.

The upshot is that getting the type of growth rates of renewables needed to unlock the economic and social potential of clean energy is likely to take more than economic incentives and mandates.  It may well require reform to remove obstacles to the deployment of new technology.

The energy bills now working their way through Congress contain some measures to address these problems.  But my research suggests more work needs to be done.

Welcome to Our New Site

Welcome to the new home of the New Policy Institute. We’ll be continuing to make some changes over the next few weeks, so please let us know if there are any particular features you’d like to see on our new site using the comment form below. Thanks, and we look forward to seeing you around!

- Dan Boscov-Ellen, Manager of New Media and Online Advocacy

Dr. Jagdish Bhagwati Kicks off New Econ Speaker Series

On September 8, 2009, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow for International Economics and Columbia University Economics Professor Jagdish Bhagwati and Globalization Initiative Chair Dr. Robert Shapiro kicked off a new series on the challenges facing the American and global economies. Experts in international economics, Bhagwati and Shapiro discussed the impact of the economic and financial crises on international trade, the changing shape of the global economy, and the future outlook for the trade liberalization agenda. Watch the full video below:

Introducing “Global Mobile”

Welcome to Global Mobile, a new blog about the power of mobiles. We’ve been writing about cell phones in politics long before Barack Obama told you he picked Joe Biden via text message. New Policy Institute President Simon Rosenberg and Alec Ross co-authored a paper in 2007 about the importance of the global communications network for our affiliate, NDN, suggesting that we better prepare our children for this new world. And last year, Tom Kalil, now Deputy Director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, wrote a ground-breaking paper about the “Mobile Revolution.” So, this blog is building on a pretty deep track record dealing with this stuff.

For frequent updates about the ways that mobile technology is changing lives and improving societies around the world, check back often at the Global Mobile blog.

The Challenges and Opportunities of Telemedicine

I was at Brookings this morning for a discussion on “Consumer-Driven Medicine” (A curious euphemism for what I would call “patient-driven medicine”– isn’t it a disturbing reduction to think of patients as simply “consumers” of medical services? But I digress…). Specifically, telemedicine (or mHealth, or whatever you want to call it) in America was the subject of the day.

There was unanimous agreement that telemedicine has the potential to help improve healthcare outcomes without raising costs (and possibly lowering them). Further, as I was saying on Tuesday, the technology is basically already here, and AT&T, a presenter on the panel, has been developing technologies that would network all our mHealth devices. So why can’t you track your blood sugar and check your medical records on your Blackberry?  A few key themes emerged:

  • TelemedicineThe biggest obstacle for telemedicine is that insurance doesn’t cover it. Part of the problem here is that when the CBO costs out implementation of telemedicine infrastructure, they don’t account for cost savings. True, a big upfront investment is required, but telemedicine is all about cost savings. It saves trips to the doctor.  It saves the valuable time of doctors.  Through preventive care and monitoring of chronic disease, people can avoid getting sick– and that’s a massive cost saver. So the CBO issue prevents Medicare and Medicaid from leading in telemedicine, and given a comfortable status quo, private insurers are unlikely to make the initial investment, either.
  • Rural areas stand to gain the most from telemedicine. One of the presenters was Dr. Karen Rheuban, a self-described “country doctor” (and also head of the American Telemedicine Association). Like in any developing country, rural America faces challenges of resource scarcity. Doctors are few, hospitals are far-between, and high-quality specialty care is virtually nonexistent. Dr. Rheuban talked about one initiative in Virginia that brought a mobile mammogram machine into rural communities.  The images were reviewed by doctors in Richmond, and results returned the same day.
  • Patients love telemedicine. Doctors are a little wary. The panelists concurred that after their first experience with remote monitoring or consultation, patients are enthusiastically ready to make it their norm. Doctors, while they know it has potential, and know it’s where events are leading, tend to be more dubious. This was interestingly reflected by the audience at the event; in question after question, doctors seemed very wary of telemedicine, and of yielding much control to either data-crunching software or to patients themselves. Change is hard, but this is a case in which progress could lead to doctors having more of their rarest resource: time.

In sum, good event from Brookings on a crucial subject (and one, I’d say, that should have a bigger role in our current healthcare debate).